The Washington Interscholastic Activities Association released its final classification figures Friday for the upcoming 2014-'16 two-year enrollment cycle, and a handful of South Sound schools are presumably on their way up and down a classification.
All numbers will be finalized Jan. 7. Some schools -- like Timberline, for example -- are still working with the WIAA on their enrollment figures.
Each reclassification cycle, the WIAA strives for 17 percent (roughly 64 schools) in each of the six classifications (4A, 3A, 2A, 1A, 2B and 1B).
A look at what likely will happen:
Rochester likely is on its way up to Class 2A (480 students in grades 9-11), making the Warriors the prime school to join the 2A Evergreen Conference with Aberdeen, Black Hills, Centralia, W.F. West, River Ridge and Tumwater. Tumwater (934) remains one of the largest 2A schools while Rochester likely will be in the bottom 10 percent of 2A enrollments. Rochester currently sits as the second-smallest 2A school behind Blaine, so two or more school opt-ups could push the Warriors back down to 1A.
Capital (990) could be back up to Class 3A; the Cougars have the fifth-smallest 3A enrollment numbers, and opt-ups could push Capital back down under the 3A cut-off to 2A.
Timberline (1,255) likely will be a Class 4A school, and one of the smallest 4A schools. However, Timberline is still working with the WIAA on its enrollment numbers. Timberline sits just above the 4A cutoff of 1,250 students in grades nine through 11. Yelm, Olympia and Timberline all are in the bottom 10 percent of 4A enrollment numbers.
Rainier looks to be headed down to Class 2B (198). Northwest Christian (83), which has seen a decline in enrollment in recent years, "plans to stay" at Class 2B, athletic director Jeanette Lindstrom said.
Again, all numbers finalized Jan. 7, which is the deadline for schools to choose to opt-up a classification.
WIAA's enrollment ranges
4A: 1,252-2,099 students
Olympia (1,287), Yelm (1,266), Timberline (1,255)
North Thurston (1,093), Shelton (1,081), Capital (990)
Tumwater (934), River Ridge (818), Centralia (761), Black Hills (728), W.F. West (649), Rochester (480)
Tenino (264), Elma (434)
1B: 26-87NW Christian (83), Oakville (59), Pope John Paul II (52), Mary M. Knight (47).