U.S. Sen. Patty Murray was still ahead of Republican Dino Rossi in the new KCTS-9/KPLU/Washington Poll released this morning. But Murray's eight-point lead was trimmed to four points – with a 49 percent to 45 percent edge to the Democrat – compared to an earlier poll by the same group.
The results, which were just inside the 4.3 percent error margin, are in conflict with other automated polling results that Republicans are pointing to as evidence the race remains too close to call.
Here is KPLU-radio's written report on the poll findings.
Murray had led by eight points in a Washington Poll earlier this month and in a recent poll for CNN and Time.
The Washington Poll accurately picked the winner of the 2006 U.S. Senate race won by Maria Cantwell over Mike McGavick, and the poll's estimated margin of victory was closer than many other polls. The same was true for Democratic Gov. Chris Gregoire’s re-election in 2008. Here is the poll's own claim to accuracy.
Even so, Republican chair Luke Esser and Democratic Party chair Dwight Pelz were not predicting victors today when I talked to them for a story running Monday about ballot challenges the parties could engage in. Both were focused on getting out the vote over the weekend.
"It seems very close but you don't know for sure until they start counting ballots," Esser said.
"We think the race for the Senate and three of the House races are very close," Pelz said. "There's a difference between a close race and one that goes to recount."