Iowa’s U.S. Senate race is too close to call, while New Hampshire’s battle is tilting in favor of the incumbent, according to a new Marist/NBC News poll.
Both are currently Democratic-held seats, and Republicans see both as opportunities. Republicans need a net gain of six seats to win control of the Senate.
In Iowa, Rep. Bruce Braley, a Democrat, and State Sen. Joni Ernst, a Republican, are in a 43-43 tie. Each runs strong in their own party, and “a gender gap also keeps this a close matchup,” said a Marist analysis.
Braley is leading among women, Ernst among men. And, Marist noted, “A notable proportion of Iowans have yet to form an opinion about each of these candidates.”
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They’re vying to replace Sen. Tom Harkin, a Democrat, who is retiring.
In New Hampshire, Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, a Democrat, has opened up an 8 percentage point lead over former Sen. Scott Brown, a Republican.
“The gender gap is the difference in this contest,” Marist found. Shaheen has a 25 percentage point lead among women, while Brown leads among men by 9.