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UK public inflation expectations surged after Iran war, BoE says

A shopper walks along an aisle inside a Tesco supermarket in Manchester, Britain, February 5, 2026 REUTERS/Phil Noble
A shopper walks along an aisle inside a Tesco supermarket in Manchester, Britain, February 5, 2026 REUTERS/Phil Noble Reuters

LONDON - The British public's expectations for inflation in the long term rose to a record high last month after the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran sent energy prices soaring, the Bank of England's quarterly inflation attitudes survey showed on Friday.

The public's median expectation for the rate of inflation in the year ahead increased to 4% from 3.2% in February.

For inflation in five years' time, expectations rose to 3.9% in May from 3.7% in February - their highest level since BoE records for this time series began in 2009 and far above the BoE's target for consumer price inflation of 2.0%.

BoE policymakers monitor the public's inflation expectations carefully for signs that price pressures are becoming permanently embedded in consumer behaviour.

(Reporting by Suban Abdulla, editing by Andy Bruce)

Copyright Reuters or USA Today Network via Reuters Connect.

This story was originally published June 12, 2026 at 1:44 AM.

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